Lifetime Risk for Heart Failure Among White and Black Americans

JACC: April 9, 2013

Objectives  This study sought to estimate lifetime risk for heart failure (HF) by sex and race.

Background  Prior estimates of lifetime risk for developing HF range from 20% to 33% in predominantly white cohorts. Short-term risks for HF appear higher for blacks than whites, but only limited comparisons of lifetime risk for HF have been made.

Methods  Using public-release and internal datasets from National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute–sponsored cohorts, we estimated lifetime risks for developing HF to age 95 years, with death free of HF as the competing event, among participants in the CHA (Chicago Heart Association Detection Project in Industry), ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities), and CHS (Cardiovascular Health Study) cohorts. Read more